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WILL TONIGHT’s DEBATE Help or Hurt Obama or Romney?

October 22, 2012

As president, you would have thought Obama would have laid out his vision for America by now? Obama has been campaigning for almost a year and has not mentioned any plans pertaining to the future of America. Perhaps, his campaign promises are coming back to haunt him by people who believed he was a man of his word and found out too late he wasn’t. Right now Obama’s word is looking pretty worthless to a country still ruminating within the straits of pain and austerity with no hope of any significant changes coming soon that will belie that fact. If anything, January 2013 will be a date to remember when a new Federal Tax is levied on services never taxed before. Taking Americans by surprise when they pick up their Dry Cleaning, have a tooth filled or any dental work for that matter advanced by a dentist, have their hair cut and styled by a barber or a hairdresser taxed with a Federal Excise tax on many non-taxable items including food, clothing and home heating oil.

That is if America continues in denial thinking Obama is actually going to do an about face helping Americans rather than nickle diming them to death with new Taxes and restrictive Work related regulations.

Unless a change of the presidency comes about 2 weeks from now.. we are doomed to suffer under the dictatorial hand of a disengaged president who cares only about himself, his family and his donors. As long as the flow of money is going north into Obama’s treasury, you can forget hoping for a change unless you agree voting for Romney is the better choice in this election.

Gallup: Romney Holds Steady +7 Lead

Today’s tracking poll from Gallup confirms that Romney has opened a consistent, and significant, lead in the race against President Obama. After dipping a point yesterday, the poll finds Romney again leading Obama by 7 points among likely voters, 52-45. Romney even leads by 3-points among registered voters, a sample which gives Democrats an advantage. The Gallup poll has been remarkably steady since Romney surged into the lead.

Significantly, most of this poll was conducted after Tuesday’s second presidential debate. Obama was more energetic in that debate. It would have been just about impossible to not be, but the performance hasn’t translated into any kind of bounce in polling for Obama. While he didn’t “lose” this week’s debate, he certainly hasn’t done anything to arrest his erosion in the polls.

A month ago, baseball statistician Nate Silver bragged that Gallup had correctly predicted 18 of the last 20 elections. Of course, Obama was leading the Gallup poll then. Now that Gallup shows Romney with a solid lead, Silver and the rest of the left are hell-bent on attacking Gallup’s credibility. In fact, in a textbook case of confirmation bias, Silver has greeted Romney’s rise in the Gallup poll by arguing that Obama’s chances of reelection have increased. Apparently, Romney’s rise in the polls is dooming his campaign.

Even if we allow that Gallup is overstating Romney’s lead, their results are consistent with virtually all other polling. State-level polling shows him maintaining solid leads in battlegrounds like North Carolina and Florida, tied or marginally ahead in Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and Iowa, and narrowing the gap in all the other swing states.

Other national polls that don’t use ridiculous turnout models all point to Romney edging Obama with just over two weeks to go.

The technical term for this is momentum. Romney’s campaign has all the hallmarks of a campaign that is surging at exactly the right, critical moment. While the Obama campaign obsesses over Big Bird, binders and word-games with Romney’s name, Romney has honed a substantive message that fits the times and resonates with voters.

Obama needs something very big to save his reelection. Time is running out. LINK



  1. October 24, 2012 6:10 am

    A Big improvement for an emotional wreck hanging around with sane people. For him, it’s therapeutic. And a better use of his time now that he’s realized being a spokesman for Obama was the wrong choice. I don’t think he’s ever gotten over the death of his brother.

  2. October 24, 2012 6:19 am

    OOps! Lies that come back to haunt… just before an election(?)
    So, the question is- ‘Why did Obama Lie’, promoting the 15min video lie for 2 weeks? And the poor guy who produced the video is still in custody?

    White House told of militant claim two hours after Libya attack: emails

    (Reuters) – Officials at the White House and State Department were advised two hours after attackers assaulted the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya, on September 11 that an Islamic militant group had claimed credit for the attack, official emails show.

    The emails, obtained by Reuters from government sources not connected with U.S. spy agencies or the State Department and who requested anonymity, specifically mention that the Libyan group called Ansar al-Sharia had asserted responsibility for the attacks.

    The brief emails also show how U.S. diplomats described the attack, even as it was still under way, to Washington.

    U.S. Ambassador Christopher Stevens and three other Americans were killed in the Benghazi assault, which President Barack Obama and other U.S. officials ultimately acknowledged was a “terrorist” attack carried out by militants with suspected links to al Qaeda affiliates or sympathizers.

    Administration spokesmen, including White House spokesman Jay Carney, citing an unclassified assessment prepared by the CIA, maintained for days that the attacks likely were a spontaneous protest against an anti-Muslim film.

    While officials did mention the possible involvement of “extremists,” they did not lay blame on any specific militant groups or possible links to al Qaeda or its affiliates until intelligence officials publicly alleged that on September 28.

    There were indications that extremists with possible al Qaeda connections were involved, but also evidence that the attacks could have erupted spontaneously, they said, adding that government experts wanted to be cautious about pointing fingers prematurely.

    U.S. intelligence officials have emphasized since shortly after the attack that early intelligence reporting about the attack was mixed.

    Spokesmen for the White House and State Department had no immediate response to requests for comments on the emails.


    The records obtained by Reuters consist of three emails dispatched by the State Department’s Operations Center to multiple government offices, including addresses at the White House, Pentagon, intelligence community and FBI, on the afternoon of September 11.

    The first email, timed at 4:05 p.m. Washington time – or 10:05 p.m. Benghazi time, 20-30 minutes after the attack on the U.S. diplomatic mission allegedly began – carried the subject line “U.S. Diplomatic Mission in Benghazi Under Attack” and the notation “SBU”, meaning “Sensitive But Unclassified.”

    The text said the State Department’s regional security office had reported that the diplomatic mission in Benghazi was “under attack. Embassy in Tripoli reports approximately 20 armed people fired shots; explosions have been heard as well.”

    The message continued: “Ambassador Stevens, who is currently in Benghazi, and four … personnel are in the compound safe haven. The 17th of February militia is providing security support.”

    A second email, headed “Update 1: U.S. Diplomatic Mission in Benghazi” and timed 4:54 p.m. Washington time, said that the Embassy in Tripoli had reported that “the firing at the U.S. Diplomatic Mission in Benghazi had stopped and the compound had been cleared.” It said a “response team” was at the site attempting to locate missing personnel.

    A third email, also marked SBU and sent at 6:07 p.m. Washington time, carried the subject line: “Update 2: Ansar al-Sharia Claims Responsibility for Benghazi Attack.”

    The message reported: “Embassy Tripoli reports the group claimed responsibility on Facebook and Twitter and has called for an attack on Embassy Tripoli.”

    While some information identifying recipients of this message was redacted from copies of the messages obtained by Reuters, a government source said that one of the addresses to which the message was sent was the White House Situation Room, the president’s secure command post.

    Other addressees included intelligence and military units as well as one used by the FBI command center, the source said.

    It was not known what other messages were received by agencies in Washington from Libya that day about who might have been behind the attacks.

    Intelligence experts caution that initial reports from the scene of any attack or disaster are often inaccurate.

    By the morning of September 12, the day after the Benghazi attack, Reuters reported that there were indications that members of both Ansar al-Sharia, a militia based in the Benghazi area, and al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, the North African affiliate of al Qaeda’s faltering central command, may have been involved in organizing the attacks.

    One U.S. intelligence official said that during the first classified briefing about Benghazi given to members of Congress, officials “carefully laid out the full range of sparsely available information, relying on the best analysis available at the time.”

    The official added, however, that the initial analysis of the attack that was presented to legislators was mixed.

    “Briefers said extremists were involved in attacks that appeared spontaneous, there may have been a variety of motivating factors, and possible links to groups such as (al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb and Ansar al-Sharia) were being looked at closely,” the official said.

  3. October 24, 2012 6:46 am

    Several Months before the Benghazi attack, requests for additional security denied…


    this just released video says Obama admin knew of the the attack as it was happening.
    (this fresh video as not yet been converted to youtube)

  4. October 24, 2012 6:52 am

    Chris Wallace gives a fine analogy of Monday night’s FP debate:

  5. October 24, 2012 8:54 am

    I am sorry to say this but if Hillary hitched herself to Obama and she knew standing at those coffins that Obama was lying and this was a coverup then shame on her for not resigning and blowing him to kingdom come.

  6. October 24, 2012 9:34 am

    RAmussen Wed : Romney 50 Obama 46

  7. October 24, 2012 10:31 am


    I guess you can look at it that way.. But, I think Hillary holds the Smoking Gun!
    At least I’m hoping that is the reason for her silence-


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